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Weekly Commentary
Investment Trends a-Changin’ - Jul 31, 2014
By Peter G. Hall, Vice-President and Chief Economist, Export Development Canada
What's hot in the global economy? Well, follow the money - it is usually a reliable indicator of the shifts in business trends. No, we're not talking about 'hot money' flows, which can be in one day and out the next. It's foreign movements of direct investment in physical buildings and equipment, the 'longer-term commitment' sort of investment that is the signal here. So what is it telling us about the tables that companies are putting their hard-earned cash on?
The World Investment Report produced by UNCTAD every summer is the authoritative source of this global direct investment data. It was released about a month ago, and details investment flows and stocks the world over. The latest report covers investment activity in 2013, and the key finding is that the downturn of 2012 was reversed last year. Thankfully, investment inflows were up by a sturdy 9 per cent, to $1.45 trillion. Ready cash doesn't seem to be a ...     More >>

Daily Update (Source: RBC Financial Group)
Canadian GDP rebounds in May
Jul 31, 2014
- May 2014 gross domestic product (GDP) rose by a solid 0.4%, which was up from the 0.1% gain in April.
- The bounce in growth mainly reflected growth in goods-producing industries rising by 0.5%, which more than offset the 0.4% decline in April.
- Service-producing industries grew by a solid 0.4%, which matched a similar-sized increase in April.
- The strengthening in May GDP was encouraging after the disappointing gain in April. This pick-up in monthly growth was slightly stronger than what was assumed in our forecast, thereby implying annualized second-quarter 2014 growth closer to 2.5%, which compares to our previously estimated second-quarter growth rate of 2.2% and the 1.2% increase recorded in the first quarter of 2014. ....     More >>

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