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Weekly Commentary
The Near-Term Business Bet - Aug 28, 2014
By Peter G. Hall, Vice-President and Chief Economist, Export Development Canada
Money talks. Right now, itís telling us what business thinks about near-term growth. And a great gauge of this conversation is the opinion of purchasing managers. All over the world, buyers in companies, regardless of size or reach, are making daily decisions about acquiring the inputs needed to produce what they sell. They not only have to forecast their needs and striking prices, but they have to match these to expected future sales. In effect, they are forecasters who are continuously being assessed on their judgment calls. So, what are they saying these days?
Letís start with the US. As America is the worldís growth engine, itís critical to know what its buyers are saying. The news is not just good; itís great. Manufacturers were discouraged by the poor winter weather, but they got over it; the index is now back to the heights seen last fall, and rising. New orders are leading the charge, up sharply in the last ...     More >>

Daily Update (Source: RBC Financial Group)
Canadian real GDP growth exceeded expectations in the second quarter
Aug 29, 2014
- Real gross domestic product (GDP) grew at a 3.1% annualized pace in the second quarter of 2014, thereby beating market expectations for a 2.7% gain.
- Stronger consumption and residential construction activity were supplemented by a surge in exports.
- Inventory growth slowed in the second quarter of 2014 and trimmed 1.8 percentage points from the quarterly growth rate.
- On a monthly basis, real GDP rose by 0.3% in June 2014, which was slower than Mayís revised 0.5% increase although faster than the 0.1% gain recorded in March and April, and market expectations for a 0.2% increase.
- Todayís report confirmed that the economyís rebound in the second quarter and July data reported so far ....     More >>

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