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Weekly Commentary
The Hope Factor - Jun 23, 2016
By Peter G. Hall, Vice-President and Chief Economist, Export Development Canada
"Where there is no vision, the people are unrestrained." So penned wise King Solomon millennia ago, and it's perhaps an apt adage for today's political climate. The post-recession period has seen significant political upheaval, aided by social media but fed by a groundswell of underlying frustration that we just can't seem to kick. Is it a new reality brought on by a confluence of multiple structural factors, or is it more of a passing fad?
The phenomenon is widespread, touching emerging and developed markets alike. For Canadians, likely the most visible manifestation of political mayhem is the US election. Restraints of the past have been flung aside, with candidates using radical rhetoric that verges on the incendiary at times, fights occurring at rallies, and policy statements that strike fear into the hearts of onlooking exporters. Brexit is also the issue du jour, with the lead-up to today's vote inflaming debate and eliciting ...     More >>

Daily Update (Source: RBC Financial Group)
Canadian April GDP rises an expected 0.1%
Jun 30, 2016
- The April increase followed an unrevised 0.2% drop in March
The overall increase in April GDP was restrained by weakness in non-conventional oil extraction which dropped 7.3% in the month. This mainly reflected some maintenance shutdowns at upgrader facilities. This component is expected to sink further in May by 38% reflecting the more massive shutdowns in this sector prompted by the Alberta wildfires that struck close to major production facilities. Activity started tor return in June that is expected to send this component up 30% in that month followed ....     More >>

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