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Weekly Commentary
Feta-complis? - Jul 30, 2015
By Peter G. Hall, Vice-President and Chief Economist, Export Development Canada
What would a week be without yet another eleventh hour in the interminable fight to keep Greece from exiting the Euro? On July 13, a deal was struck that averted the likely withdrawal of ECB emergency liquidity assistance and consequent departure of the Hellenic Republic from currency union – by my count, eleventh hour number 47,496 since the Greek parliament passed its first austerity package on February 9, 2010. So are we finally on the path toward permanent reconciliation, or is this just another in a line of utterly predictable summer sequels?
To be sure, Tsipras’ mistake was overplaying his hand, assuming that the referendum would give him a mandate to negotiate and believing that Europe needs Greece as much as Greece needs Europe. Once he realized he was wrong – for example, Brexit is much more of an existential threat to European integration than Grexit – he was forced to climb down. ...     More >>

Daily Update (Source: RBC Financial Group)
US new “advance” report shows goods trade deficit widened in June
Jul 30, 2015
- The US Census Bureau introduced a new release, Advance Report: US International Trade in Goods, which will be published ahead of the regular report on US International Trade in Goods and Services (next release on August 5, 2015).
- Today’s release covers trade in goods on a Census basis, while the full report will also include trade in services as well as converting the goods trade to a balance of payments basis. The “advance” trade data for June 2015 will be subject to revision in the full release next week.
- The Census Bureau also released historical “advance” estimates dating back to January 2013. Comparing these estimates of the trade balance with the “final” estimates, the “advance” estimate tended to ....     More >>

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