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Weekly Commentary
Canadian Exports: Where’s the Momentum? - Feb 11, 2016
By Peter G. Hall, Vice-President and Chief Economist, Export Development Canada
In all the turbulence swirling around us, a moment of bliss. Canada's merchandise exports ended a volatile 2015 with a 3.9 per cent monthly surge that cut the trade deficit by almost two-thirds. The December gift came in spite of widespread fears that Canada's trade stats would continue to disappoint, treading gingerly into the New Year's financial market maelstrom. Is it just one of many volatile stats, soon to be erased by a down-month, or is there reason to believe that things are looking up?
It might be just one month, but December's growth was attention-grabbing on a number of fronts. First, 10 of the 11 broad industry categories measured were up. Basic minerals was the only category to drop. Of the remaining sectors, five had a spectacular month, led by a 26 per cent surge in the aerospace industry. Mineral products had a banner month, followed by consumer goods, the auto industry and industrial machinery. ...     More >>

Daily Update (Source: RBC Financial Group)
US January retail sales up 0.2% in January with strong underlying details
Feb 12, 2016
- Retail sales rose by 0.2% in January 2016, slightly above market expectations for a 0.1% increase.
- Excluding motor vehicles, sales rose by a still relatively modest 0.1%, but so called ‘control’ sales (which exclude motor vehicle dealerships, gasoline stations, and building material stores) rose by a stronger than expected 0.6% (compared to expectations for a 0.3% gain) to retrace the 0.3% decline posted in December 2015.
- The gain in the retail control measure along with earlier-reported strength in auto sales in January provided some upside risk to our monitoring that consumer spending will bounce back to a 2.7% rate in the first quarter of 2016. This would follow a 2.2% rate ....     More >>

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