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Weekly Commentary
Regional Outlook Mirrors World’s Ups, Downs - May 26, 2016
By Peter G. Hall, Vice-President and Chief Economist, Export Development Canada
If you like a study in contrasts, then look no further than Canada's provinces. The outlook for export performance this year could hardly be more disparate, making my current coast-to-coast forecast tour quite a challenge. It's obvious from these interactions with exporters that Canada's conditions mirror those in the rest of the world: global growth engines are firing up sales of higher-value Canadian exports, and a weaker loonie is helping. However, the plunge in commodity prices that was triggered by renewed global growth is wreaking havoc in Canada's more commodity-dependent regions.
Speaking with Ontario and Quebec exporters these days is a lot easier. Rewind back a couple of years, and these were a gloomy bunch, uncertain of US demand and fearing a parity-plus currency. Now, tales of double-digit expansions, improved profitability and looming or existing capacity constraints ...     More >>

Daily Update (Source: RBC Financial Group)
US Q1/16 GDP growth revised marginally higher
May 27, 2016
- Despite the upward revision, the first-quarter 2016 increase still represented a slowing from the already modest 1.4% increase recorded in the fourth quarter of 2015.
- Market expectations had been for a marginally stronger 0.9% increase.
- The upward revision to growth largely reflected greater contributions to growth of 0.1 percentage points from three main areas: net exports, residential investment, and inventories.
- Some offset was provided by marginally weaker business investment.
Despite the upward revision, growth in the first quarter of 2016 remained disappointingly below the economy’s long-run potential or average rate. The quarter indicated ....     More >>

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