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Weekly Commentary
A Debilitating Dollar Stateside? - Feb 26, 2015
By Peter G. Hall, Vice-President and Chief Economist, Export Development Canada
In our slow-growth world, one economy stands out from the rest. US growth has been nothing if not spectacular for the last year-and-a-half, notwithstanding weather and public-sector mishaps. But post-crisis reticence has left a lingering fear that it wonít Ė or canít Ė last. It seems we are still at the mercy of the monthly data, or worse, nervously scanning daily developments. Among them is the latest cause for concern: the appreciation of the greenback. Is this the big wrecking-ball that will take out the only home-grown good-news story the economic world can print?
The US dollarís recent about-face is hard to ignore. Since mid-2014, it has climbed 13 per cent on a trade-weighted basis, and is showing little sign of a let-up. Thatís a sudden and considerable loss of competitiveness that under normal circumstances has a significant negative impact on export performance, and in particular the manufacturing sector ...     More >>

Daily Update (Source: RBC Financial Group)
Canadian GDP rose 2.4% at an annualized rate in the fourth quarter
Mar 3, 2015
- Canadian gross domestic product (GDP) rose at a 2.4% annualized rate in the fourth quarter of 2014. That result was above market expectations for a 2.0% reading and was accompanied by upward revisions to third- and second-quarter growth to 3.2% (was 2.8%) and 3.8% (was 3.6%), respectively. Annual GDP growth increased to 2.5% in 2014, which was up from 2.0% in 2013 and 1.9% in 2012.
- Inventories provided the largest source of growth in the fourth quarter, by adding 1.8 percentage points to the quarterly growth rate after subtracting 1.3 and 2.2 percentage points in the third and second quarters, respectively. Final domestic demand growth slowed to 1.5% from 2.9% in the third quarter due to slower, ....     More >>

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