Industry Overview - Silver Industry


The following content is excerpted from the prospectus of Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Corporation (to be renamed Gatos Silver, Inc.) dated October 6, 2020 filed on SEDAR.

Silver Supply

Silver supply is primarily driven by mined silver production, which, according to The Silver Institute's World Silver Survey 2020, accounted for 81.7% of supply in 2019. Recycling largely accounted for the remainder of silver supply. Global silver supply increased 0.6% year-over-year in 2019 to 1,023 million ounces compared to 1,016.8 million ounces in 2018.

Mine silver output in 2019 declined for the fourth consecutive year, falling 1.3% to 836.5 million ounces from 847.8 million ounces in 2018. These recent production declines follow 13 consecutive years of growth. The decrease in silver supply was largely driven by lower grades at primary silver mines, lower silver production from copper mines and losses from production disruptions. In Peru, Compañía de Minas Buenaventura's Uchucchacua Mine saw silver production decrease from a 27% decline in grades and experienced a 21-day strike; Hochschild Mining's Arcata Mine was placed into care and maintenance early in the year; and declining silver grades were a factor at large primary copper mines. In Mexico, Fresnillo plc achieved lower grades at several of its mines; First Majestic Silver Corp.'s San Martin Mine and Endeavour Silver's El Cubo Mine were placed on care and maintenance; and blockades resulted in Newmont Corporation's Penasquito Mino being suspended for 90 days.

Mexico was the world's largest silver mining country in 2019 (190.3 million ounces, down 2.2% from 2018), followed by Peru (135.4 million ounces, down 7.6% from 2018) and China (110.7 million ounces, up 0.06% from 2018). The chart below illustrates global mined silver production from 2011 through 2019.

Source: Prospectus of Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Corporation (to be renamed Gatos Silver, Inc.) dated October 6, 2020 filed on SEDAR.

In 2019, just 28.7% of silver produced globally (240.0 million ounces) was derived from primary silver mines, down 3.8% from 249.4 million ounces produced from primary silver mines in 2018. The remaining 71.3% of silver mined in 2019 was a by-product of lead/zinc, copper, gold and other operations. By-product silver production, which represents over two-thirds of global silver production, is typically inelastic with respect to the silver price.

Global recycled silver supply also expanded slightly in 2019 by 1.3% to 169.9 million ounces. Industrial recycling is the largest source of recycled silver and rose for the fifth consecutive year. An increase in recycled supply was recorded across all regions, other than the Commonwealth of Independent States. Recycled supply from North America was the highest in 2019, representing 33.8% of the global total.

Source: Prospectus of Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Corporation (to be renamed Gatos Silver, Inc.) dated October 6, 2020 filed on SEDAR.

Historically, another source of supply has been government sales, which amounted to 44 million ounces in 2010, according to GFMS data. However, government sales of silver stocks were minimal in the early part of this decade, and GFMS estimates that no significant sales have occurred since 2013.

A combination of a slightly higher demand and a slightly higher supply in 2019 compared to 2018 resulted in a surplus of 31.3 million ounces, or 3.1% of silver demand, according to The Silver Institute's World Silver Survey 2020. Net investment in exchange traded products of 81.7 million ounces helped to propel the net silver balance to a 50 million ounce deficit, or approximately 5% of demand.

Source: Prospectus of Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Corporation (to be renamed Gatos Silver, Inc.) dated October 6, 2020 filed on SEDAR.

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